Dave Sez

Expanded ACC Standings

It's getting to be the time of year when you can start to seriously evaluate teams' postseason chances. With about a month of play left to determine things, it's still a bit early for some teams, but we can certainly tell who the significant players are.

With that in mind, I'm reviving a feature I started last year where I look at several different computer ratings, including the RPI, and see how the ACC teams stack up. I use non-RPI ratings for two main reasons. First, the RPI just isn't a very good system and second, because if you look at past history, other computer ratings systems have been as effective or even more effective than the RPI in finding NCAA tournament teams. Remember, the RPI is only one tool that the selection committee uses. All of the other factors they weigh, overall record, good wins, bad losses, late season surges/slumps, etc. are factored into any good computer rating. Plus, there's nothing that says they don't crack open a USA Today and look at Sagarin's numbers.

So anyway, here is a table of the ACC teams and how they are doing. Starting next week, I'll have current and previous numbers in there along with an arrow showing if the team is rising or falling. For this week, I pointed the arrow the way I think the teams are going.

Team	prev/cur	Pomeroy	Sagarin	Greenfield	RPI	Avg.	Postseason Prediction	Trend
Duke (23-1, 11-0)	prev						Absolute lock for a 1 seed
	cur	1	1	1	1	1
NC State (19-5, 8-3)	prev						Either a 3 or a 4 seed
	cur	17	15	15	21	17
BC (19-5, 7-4)	prev						Either a 3 or a 4 seed
	cur	20	19	20	29	22
UNC (15-6, 6-4)	prev						Probably a 4 or 5 seed
	cur	19	16	21	23	19.75
Miami (14-10, 6-5)	prev						Just misses out on NCAA
	cur	58	73	52	82	66.25
Virginia (12-9, 6-5)	prev						NIT and happy
	cur	65	62	55	56	59.5
FSU (15-6, 5-5)	prev						Strong 10 seed
	cur	28	36	34	67	41.25
Maryland (15-8, 5-5)	prev						9 seed
	cur	36	34	40	41	37.75
VA Tech (13-11, 3-8)	prev						Watching spring football
	cur	63	81	76	114	83.5
Clemson (14-10, 3-8)	prev						Squeaks into NIT
	cur	81	71	73	73	74.5
GA Tech (10-12, 3-8)	prev						Looking forward to next year
	cur	104	100	109	136	112.25
Wake Forest (13-11, 1-9)	prev						Turmoil
	cur	89	89	93	109	95