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March 13, 2007

ACC Tourney Redux

Before we get too excited about the upcoming NCAA Tournament, I want to take a quick look back at the ACC Tournament. Despite what many were saying, I don't think it was really a fantastic tournament. Yes, there were a lot of close games and that made it exciting but close does not always equal great. Great is when two very good teams both play well and have the game go down to the wire. There wasn't a lot of that last week. It seemed we mostly had good teams playing poorly and beaten by weaker teams playing well. Out of 12 teams, only about two can really be happy with how they played. I guess that's not that unusual in a tournament, because every team but one ends with a loss, but in this case it wasn't just the fact that teams lost that was disconcerting. It was how they played.

All that said, I really liked how Carolina played all weekend. They were business-like and efficient. They didn't blow anyone out with a barrage of three-pointers and fast breaks. They slowly built leads, had occasional short bursts and generally made things hard on their opponents. That's how you win tournaments. If you rely too much on offensive explosions to win, you usually get upset by the first team that prevents those outbursts. I'm more bullish on the Tar Heel's tourney chances now than I have been all season.

Likewise, there's really nothing but praise to give to Sidney Lowe and NC State. They played extremely well and showed that without a doubt, if Engin Atsur had been healthy all year, that was a very good team. Not only would they have made the NCAAs, but they would have been at least a 5 seed. Add Andrew Brackman to the mix, and they are a top-15 team.

One word of caution to the Wolfpackers: dial your enthusiasm back a notch. Many, many coaches exceed expectations in the first year. That's the easy part. There's a wide gulf between first-year success and becoming a consistent power. Give Lowe some time and expect some bumps in the road.

Lastly, I'd like to link to four Al Featherston articles about the tournament. As you know, I love these long Featherston article. I have so much faith in his work that I'm linking to these without even having read them all. I've read parts, but there's just so much to catch up with this week that I can't do it all.

Featherston on Thursday
Featherston on Friday
Featherston on Saturday
Featherston on Sunday

Comments
 
(1) by william on 03/13/2007 12:57 pm
Well said.

There were several exciting games and Thursday seemed much better than in the past, given the marquis teams that had to play early and the Final was a really good game, that might have been a classic, had State gotten over the hump. Still, the measuring stick for me is 30 years ago; certainly few of the last ten tournaments have been very memorable.

Just because a game goes into double overtime doesn't necessary make it a classic or imply that it was well-played. Georgia Tech should have been playing like their lives depended on winning but they seemed to lack the intensity that comes from believing a game had to be won or the season was over. FSU and Clemson also should have had that kind of passion and I didn't see it in either team. BC and Maryland played as though they hardly cared what happened. The two Virginia teams probably played about to my expectations.

Nevertheless, there is one thing that added some spark to the tournament and that was the clutter of teams that finished withing 3 games of first place. Given that the regular season had done little to differentiate the teams at the top, the tournament took on an importance that it had lacked in prior years since 1997. In the past ten years, where Duke, Carolina, Wake or Maryland all had led the league with at least 13 victories and usually the first place team during the past ten years had 14 or more victories. Most of those years, the ACC team at the top had already ensured no less than a 2 seed.

With Carolina and UVa only winning 11 by contrast, the tournment's importance was magnified as Carolina could have ended up a 3 seed with a poor performance.

I thought that this Carolina team had better prospects for winning the tournament than the last two Tar Heel teams because of two major things: 1)depth and 2)inexperience.

Last year, Carolina played Wes Miller and Q. Thomas because they had to. This year it is more of a luxury. That means that Carolina has much less to fear in terms of injuries or fatigue deriving from the tournament.

In 2005, the Heels were trying to work McCants back into the line-up and were coming off an emotionally grueling game with Duke. They had a respectable performance in the tournment and exited after a close loss to Georgia Tech.

The second reason why I thought that Roy Williams was going to emphasize the tournament more this year was that, frankly, his team needed the work. Neither Terry nor Ellington had been performing up to expectations and the team had been playing a bit soft. Given their overall youth, each additional game is much more valuable to Carolina than say, in 2005.

 
(2) by william on 03/13/2007 01:06 pm
What was this all about in the Featherston article? He doesn't ever put out an email address so it is hard to let him know when things look out of place:

"But in the tournament, the Big Four teams were 5-1 against the outsiders — the only loss was Wake Forest’s narrow defeat at the hands of Boston College. As usual, the most dangerous opponents for Big Four schools in the tourney were other Big Four schools — both Duke and N.C. State were eliminated by their neighbors."

BC beat Miami and lost to UNC. Wake beat GIT and lost to VPI.

 
(3) by vick on 03/13/2007 02:11 pm
william wrote:
What was this all about in the Featherston article? He doesn't ever put out an email address so it is hard to let him know when things look out of place:

"But in the tournament, the Big Four teams were 5-1 against the outsiders — the only loss was Wake Forest’s narrow defeat at the hands of Boston College. As usual, the most dangerous opponents for Big Four schools in the tourney were other Big Four schools — both Duke and N.C. State were eliminated by their neighbors."

BC beat Miami and lost to UNC. Wake beat GIT and lost to VPI.


Duke lost to NCSU, so 0-0 against "outsiders" (in bold)
Wake beat GT and lost to VT (1-1)
NCSU beat Duke, UVA, VT, lost to UNC (2-0)
UNC beat FSU, BC, NCSU (2-0)

Adding it up indeed gets you to 5-1 against non-NC teams

 
(4) by vick on 03/13/2007 02:20 pm
vick wrote:
william wrote:
What was this all about in the Featherston article? He doesn't ever put out an email address so it is hard to let him know when things look out of place:

"But in the tournament, the Big Four teams were 5-1 against the outsiders — the only loss was Wake Forest’s narrow defeat at the hands of Boston College. As usual, the most dangerous opponents for Big Four schools in the tourney were other Big Four schools — both Duke and N.C. State were eliminated by their neighbors."

BC beat Miami and lost to UNC. Wake beat GIT and lost to VPI.


Duke lost to NCSU, so 0-0 against "outsiders" (in bold)
Wake beat GT and lost to VT (1-1)
NCSU beat Duke, UVA, VT, lost to UNC (2-0)
UNC beat FSU, BC, NCSU (2-0)

Adding it up indeed gets you to 5-1 against non-NC teams


Whoops, misunderstood your question. Featherston is indeed wrong on which team Wake lost to, although his total is correct.

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