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March 23, 2007

Who Dat?

A little quiz for you.

First, take a look at this table of statistics:

PPG

RPG

APG

TO/G

BPG

Min/G

FG%

Player A

14.4

6.9

3.19

2.50

.611

34.5

.584

Player B

13.0

7.9

3.45

2.42

2.22

35.3

.502

Those two players had pretty damn similar statistics, right? One guy scores about a point and a half less, but makes up for it with an extra rebound. Both apparently pass well, but probably turn the ball over too much. One guy does block a lot more shots, but the other guy makes up for it by being a more efficient shooter. So, all-in-all, they had pretty compatible seasons.

OK, a bit more info. Both players play the same position, are about the same size, have about the same athleticism, play in the same conference, play for teams with similar records and are sophomores.

Here's where they differ greatly. Player A is beloved by his fans and is considered a rising star. Player B has been roundly criticized and has been largely considered a bust.

Figured it out?

It's not really that tough to guess that Player B is Josh McRoberts, who just left Duke for the NBA, without causing too many teary Blue Devil eyes. Player A is NC State's Ben McCauley.

It's interesting how expectations affect our view of players, isn't it?

Comments
 
(1) by BJD95 (unregistered) on 03/23/2007 12:19 pm
The expectations game cuts both ways, too. Why does McBob get 2nd team all-ACC, and Ben McCauley get honorable mention? FWIW, SFN put McBob on the 3rd team, which is what his numbers would dictate.

You can also point to their progress from last year. McBob was pretty much the same guy (IIRC) as a frosh, while McCauley barely played (and didn't do anything when he did, really). Thus, based on projections for development (and the standard Duke hype machine treatment), McBob is a preseason POY favorite while McCauley is on nobody's radar.

 
(2) by Dave on 03/23/2007 01:20 pm
BJD95 wrote:
The expectations game cuts both ways, too. Why does McBob get 2nd team all-ACC, and Ben McCauley get honorable mention? FWIW, SFN put McBob on the 3rd team, which is what his numbers would dictate.


Absolutely. Another factor there is that while the final records were fairly close, Duke did finish three games ahead of State in the ACC standings. And of course, they are Duke.

I see no reason why McCauley can't continue to improve to where he's a shoo-in for all-league honors next year.

 
(3) by Roy (unregistered) on 03/23/2007 06:38 pm
If you don't mind a brief thread hijacking, does Conley remind anyone, besides me, of a lefty version of a certain Wake PG that won ROY last year? Neither is a great shooter, but they seem to be able to get into the lane with either hand at will, even though their defenders are giving them a step?

 
(4) by Dave on 03/23/2007 06:42 pm
Roy wrote:
If you don't mind a brief thread hijacking, does Conley remind anyone, besides me, of a lefty version of a certain Wake PG that won ROY last year? Neither is a great shooter, but they seem to be able to get into the lane with either hand at will, even though their defenders are giving them a step?


That's a good comparison. Conley has been extremely impressive.

 
(5) by Lauren (unregistered) on 03/26/2007 02:48 pm
I disagree somewhat. Though this falls into the expectations category, McRoberts was supposed to be the guy who carried Duke this year and McCauley was supposed to be just another guy, just like Duke was supposed to be significantly better and State probably significantly worse. Also, McCauley wasn't the No. 1 scoring option on his own team, nor did he need to be (that was Brandon Costner). Heck, McCauley averages fewer points a game and one fewer rebound in fewer minutes, even though that time literally had no depth! In my opinion, it is sort of like being a Notre Dame football player or a the Dallas Cowboys' QB - you get the hype and so you get the criticism, both in unfair doses. But the expectations cut both ways. In the same way that McCauley fails to get recognition, McRoberts has to deal with criticism. I just think that a lot has to do with the fact that State was "supposed" to have a down year and Duke, not so much. Also, I think that playing the position they play, the field-goal percentage difference is fairly significant.

McRoberts proved to be just a big baby, unable to take the heat or the pressure and McCauley, though not under half the scrunity of McRoberts, played with a lot of heart and mental toughness, IMO.

 
(6) by Dave on 03/26/2007 02:56 pm
Lauren wrote:
I disagree somewhat. Though this falls into the expectations category, McRoberts was supposed to be the guy who carried Duke this year and McCauley was supposed to be just another guy, just like Duke was supposed to be significantly better and State probably significantly worse. Also, McCauley wasn't the No. 1 scoring option on his own team, nor did he need to be (that was Brandon Costner). Heck, McCauley averages fewer points a game and one fewer rebound in fewer minutes, even though that time literally had no depth! In my opinion, it is sort of like being a Notre Dame football player or a the Dallas Cowboys' QB - you get the hype and so you get the criticism, both in unfair doses. But the expectations cut both ways. In the same way that McCauley fails to get recognition, McRoberts has to deal with criticism. I just think that a lot has to do with the fact that State was "supposed" to have a down year and Duke, not so much. Also, I think that playing the position they play, the field-goal percentage difference is fairly significant.

McRoberts proved to be just a big baby, unable to take the heat or the pressure and McCauley, though not under half the scrunity of McRoberts, played with a lot of heart and mental toughness, IMO.


Actually, it sounds like we mostly agree. My point, and maybe I wasn't clear enough, was that if you leave out the names and by extension, the expectations, they had very similar years. But because we do know the names, it doesn't feel like they had similar seasons.

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Posted by Dave at March 23, 2007 11:08 AM | TrackBack

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